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2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Politics Vol. $281,981 50 traders

Jean-Luc Mélenchon95%
Nathalie Arthaud90%
Marine Le Pen88%
Édouard Philippe82%
$281,981 Vol. Politics

Outcomes

46
Chance
Marine Le Pen
80% ▲ 1
Jordan Bardella
17%
Éric Zemmour
51% ▼ 8
Édouard Philippe
74%
David Lisnard
54% ▲ 6
Xavier Bertrand
15% ▲ 1
Laurent Wauquiez
3%
François Ruffin
30% ▼ 1
Gabriel Attal
35% ▼ 2
Bruno Retailleau
68%
François Hollande
28% ▲ 2
Raphaël Glucksmann
49% ▼ 1
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
87%
Marine Tondelier
29%
Fabien Roussel
74% ▲ 1
Olivier Faure
6% ▲ 1
Dominique de Villepin
22% ▼ 8
Ségolène Royal
6%
François Asselineau
12% ▲ 1
Clémentine Autain
3%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
50% ▼ 6
Michel Barnier
2%
Valérie Pécresse
2%
François Bayrou
5%
Élisabeth Borne
2%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
3%
Jean Castex
3%
Gérald Darmanin
6%
Carole Delga
3%
Bernard Cazeneuve
10% ▼ 1
Manuel Bompard
7%
Mathilde Panot
1%
Sarah Knafo
36% ▲ 1
Sébastien Lecornu
7% ▼ 1
Jean-Michel Fauvergue
5%
Nathalie Arthaud
82% ▲ 1
Delphine Batho
2%
Jérôme Guedj
10% ▼ 1
Karim Bouamrane
5% ▲ 1
Michel-Edouard Leclerc
6% ▲ 1
Manuel Valls
5%
Teddy Riner
3%
Matthieu Pigasse
9%
Juan Branco
11%
Philippe de Villiers
7%
Bally Bagayoko
3%

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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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