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Houthis successfully target shipping on...?

Oil Vol. $166,704 50 traders

July 24100%
August 492%
August 1195%
August 1910%
$166,704 Vol. Oil

Outcomes

39
Chance
July 24 Resolved
90% ▲ 82
July 25 Resolved
1% ▼ 1
July 26 Resolved
1% ▼ 2
July 27 Resolved
1%
July 28 Resolved
1% ▼ 6
July 29 Resolved
1% ▼ 1
July 30 Resolved
1% ▼ 1
July 31 Resolved
1% ▼ 1
August 1 Resolved
1%
August 2 Resolved
1% ▼ 1
August 3 Resolved
1% ▼ 1
August 4 Resolved
90% ▲ 40
August 5
1% ▼ 1
August 6 Resolved
1%
August 7 Resolved
1% ▼ 2
August 8 Resolved
1%
August 9
1% ▼ 1
August 10
1%
August 11
86% ▲ 92
August 12
5% ▼ 2
August 13
5% ▼ 2
August 14
8% ▲ 1
August 15
5%
August 16
5% ▼ 1
August 17
5%
August 18
5% ▲ 1
August 19
9%
August 20
5% ▼ 1
August 21
2% ▼ 1
August 22
5%
August 23
6% ▲ 1
August 24
4% ▼ 1
August 25
5% ▼ 1
August 26
6% ▼ 1
August 27
7% ▲ 2
August 28
6%
August 29
7%
August 30
5%
August 31
6% ▼ 1

Recent trades

  • No recent trades

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.

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