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Zyntra

Trade what happens next

Trade probabilities on future events. Each position’s price is set by supply and demand.

Live tape
  • $1,988 NO
    NBA: LeBron James Next Team 0x7d45…1ec3
  • $700 YES
    Bitcoin Up or Down 0x7d5f…5720
  • $18,800 NO
    Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM… 0x7d78…8f7c
  • $1,260 YES
    Presidential Election Winner 2028 0x7d91…c7d9
  • $84 NO
    Will there be a US recession this year? 0x7dab…0036
  • $140 YES
    Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET 0x7dc4…3892
  • $62,962 YES
    Ethereum Up or Down 0xb3d7…35d6
  • $2,763 NO
    Will there be a US recession this year? 0xb3f0…6e33
  • $3,602 NO
    Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays 0xb409…a690
  • $1,006 YES
    LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty (BO3) 0xb423…deec
  • $11,553 YES
    Presidential Election Winner 2028 0xb43c…1749
  • $15 NO
    BNB Up or Down - August 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET 0xb456…4fa6
  • $1,390 NO
    Presidential Election Winner 2028 0xb46f…8802
  • $545 YES
    Solana above $200? 0xb488…c05f

Market brief

Current distribution of market expectations

Open interest $348.90M
24h volume $23.18M

Fed

Fed Decision in September?

50+ bps decrease 1%
25 bps decrease 1% 3 more
$26.0MVol. 16 sept fomc

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 78%
1 (25 bps) 9% 11 more
$47.8MVol. 31 dec Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec

Fed rate hike in 2026?

49%

Chance

Yes49¢ No41¢
$7.1MVol. 9 dec CPI Release

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Cut–Pause–Pause 1%
Cut–Pause–Cut 1% 7 more
$712.0KVol. 16 sept Fed

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

5%

Chance

Yes5¢ No41¢
$129.9KVol. 31 dec Business

Fed rate hike by...?

April Meeting 1%
June Meeting 1% 3 more
$2.1MVol. 29 oct Fed

Fed rate cut by...?

January Meeting 1%
March Meeting 1% 6 more
$3.1MVol. 17 jun Jerome Powell

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 39%
1 (25 bps) 32% 4 more
$139.5KVol. 1 jan Fed

Fed Decision in December?

50+ bps decrease 2%
25 bps decrease 8% 3 more
$94.6KVol. 10 dec Fed

Fed Decision in October?

50+ bps decrease 2%
25 bps decrease 6% 3 more
$552.6KVol. 29 oct Fed

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↑ 5.0% 3%
↑ 5.5% 2% 19 more
$1.7MVol. 31 dec Jerome Powell

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

2.25% 1%
2.5% 1% 13 more
$6.8MVol. 9 dec Fed Rates

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Cut–Pause–Pause 1%
Cut–Pause–Cut 1% 7 more
$668.1KVol. 29 oct Fed

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

May 30 1%
December 31 18%
$434.3KVol. 31 dec Fed Chair

Fed Decision in January?

50+ bps decrease 4%
25 bps decrease 10% 3 more
$17.5KVol. 28 jan Fed

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

December 31, 2026 4%
June 30, 2027 10%
$10.9KVol. 1 jan Fed

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

December 31, 2026 2%
June 30, 2026 1%
$318.5KVol. 31 dec Fed

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

September 30 3%
October 31 2% 2 more
$4.5KVol. 1 jan Fed

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

6%

Chance

Yes6¢ No41¢
$5.5KVol. 1 jan Fed

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

0 15%
1 16% 3 more
$6.6KVol. 10 dec Fed