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Zyntra

Trade what happens next

Trade probabilities on future events. Each position’s price is set by supply and demand.

Live tape
  • $548 NO
    LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty (BO3) 0xb4ee…a1d2
  • $13 NO
    Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays 0xb507…da2e
  • $136 YES
    Will there be a US recession this year? 0xb521…128b
  • $35,100 NO
    Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays 0xb53a…4ae8
  • $16,625 YES
    Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET 0xb553…8344
  • $2,860 NO
    Bitcoin Up or Down 0xb240…b00c
  • $219 NO
    NBA: LeBron James Next Team 0xb25a…e868
  • $3,440 YES
    Presidential Election Winner 2028 0xb273…20c5
  • $4,766 YES
    BNB Up or Down - August 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET 0xb28c…5922
  • $24,171 NO
    Ethereum Up or Down 0xb2a6…917e
  • $426 YES
    Solana Up or Down - August 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET 0xb2bf…c9db
  • $15 YES
    Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays 0xb2d9…0238
  • $9,330 NO
    Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) 0xb2f2…3a94
  • $7,663 YES
    XRP Up or Down - August 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET 0xb30b…72f1

Market brief

Current distribution of market expectations

Open interest $348.90M
24h volume $23.18M

Macro indicators

July Inflation US - Annual

≤3.1% 2%
3.2% 5% 10 more
$540.8KVol. 12 aug CPI

July Inflation US - Monthly

≤-0.7% 1%
-0.6% 1% 7 more
$246.5KVol. 12 aug CPI

Core CPI YoY - July 2026

≤2.2% 3%
2.3% 3% 8 more
$92.9KVol. 12 aug CPI

Core CPI MoM - July 2026

≤0.0% 7%
0.1% 28% 5 more
$146.1KVol. 12 aug CPI

ISM Services PMI - August 2026

<50.0 1%
50.0–50.9 1% 8 more
$17.3KVol. 3 sept ISM

ECB Interest Rates: September 2026

50+ bps decrease 1%
25 bps decrease 1% 3 more
$213.8KVol. 10 sept ECB

Bank of England decision in September?

50+ bps decrease 1%
25 bps decrease 1% 3 more
$142.8KVol. 18 sept BOE

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Above 4.5% 19%
Above 3% 90% 6 more
$1.4MVol. 31 dec Inflation

Core PCE MoM - July 2026

≤-0.2% 1%
-0.1% 1% 5 more
$20.5KVol. 26 aug PCE

August Inflation China - Annual

≤0.2% 12%
0.3% - 0.4% 9% 3 more
$1.9KVol. 10 sept CPI

U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

<1.0% 1%
1.0–1.4% 2% 7 more
$49.9KVol. 20 jan Macro indicators

Canada GDP: June 2026 (MoM)

<0.0% 8%
0.0-0.1% 17% 4 more
$11.2KVol. 28 aug GDP

Fed Decision in December?

50+ bps decrease 2%
25 bps decrease 8% 3 more
$94.6KVol. 10 dec Fed

Bank of Brazil decision in September?

50+ bps increase 1%
25 bps increase 1% 3 more
$77.6KVol. 15 sept Brazil

JOLTS Job Openings — July 2026

<7.1M 4%
7.1M-7.2M 14% 6 more
$16.6KVol. 1 sept jobs

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

<1.0% 1%
1.0–2.0% 1% 8 more
$875.1KVol. 31 jan China

UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

Negative 4%
0.0–0.1% 9% 5 more
$33.9KVol. 12 aug Economy

Fed Decision in October?

50+ bps decrease 2%
25 bps decrease 6% 3 more
$552.6KVol. 29 oct Fed

Argentina Monthly Inflation - July

≤1.1% 1%
1.2-1.4% 1% 6 more
$24.7KVol. 13 aug CPI

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↑ 5.0% 3%
↑ 5.5% 2% 19 more
$1.7MVol. 31 dec Jerome Powell